| The John and Hill Show?
By NiallO’Dowd
THERE was good news for both leading presidential candidates this week
when Time magazine and The New York Times offered evidence that Senators
John McCain and Hillary Clinton have become very much the front runners
for the 2008 race.
If this is so it sets up one of the most exciting presidential races in
modern times, one that certainly contrasts favorably, in terms of the
quality of the candidates, with the Bush/Kerry race in 2004.
It will also set up an interesting dilemma for many Irish American organizations.
Clinton, of course, because of her and her husband’s work on Northern
Ireland and other Irish issues, has always enjoyed very significant Irish
support.
Recently, however, McCain has also begun focusing on building his Irish
credentials, especially on the immigration issue. He has headlined several
events hosted by the Irish Lobby for Immigration Reform. In addition,
one of his top staffers is Mayo-born Angela Hession, who has ensured that
the Arizona senator is kept abreast on Irish issues.
McCain’s move towards the Irish is an interesting one. Until quite
recently he was seen as problematic on the Northern Ireland issue, much
too close to the British Embassy in his beliefs.
Indeed, he made a very poor impression on many leading Irish Americans
at an American Ireland Fund dinner in Wash-ington a few years back when
he was very outspoken against Sinn Fein.
His embrace of the immigration issue, however, has given him a major entrée
into the Irish American community again. Recently he was the headline
speaker at the Irish America magazine Wall Street 50 event where he wowed
the crowd.
Clinton, of course, has also had a continuing outreach to the Irish
American community. She has been a solid supporter of Irish American Democrats,
the organization run by the tireless Stella O’Leary in Washington,
D.C., and recently spoke at one of the group’s events.
Her record and that of her husband’s in helping bring the Irish
peace process to fruition will always ensure she has the ongoing respect
of much of Irish America.
So who would win a race between America’s two most talented politicians?
Right now the odds would have to be about even money that the two will
square off in 2008.
This week’s Time magazine has a cover story on Clinton and publishes
a series of polls that showed that despite much opposition among Republicans,
she remains by far the most viable presidential candidate for her party.
Meanwhile, The New York Times reported on its front page on Monday that
McCain has locked up a surprising number of top Republican officials,
including several Bush confidantes, in his drive for the White House.
A Clinton/McCain race would be mighty close if they ran against each other
for president, Time reported, with only a two percentage point margin
favoring McCain.
Of course it’s early to be handicapping the race, and much can happen
between now and the fall of next year when the real campaigning begins
for the party nominations.
Both candidates could have significant negatives by then. McCain is 70
this year and has had health problems. Clinton remains the most polarizing
figure in American politics after President George W. Bush. Both may yet
be done down by such drawbacks.
That would be a pity forever. The prospect of the two best politicians
going head to head in the 2008 presidential race is a hugely exciting
one. It is not surprising that the speculation has already begun.
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